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The company story

Microsoft Corporation

XNAS: MSFT · USD · split-adjusted

Microsoft has had three lives: the monopoly, the lost decade, and the reinvention. The chart shows exactly when each one was priced in.

$0.09549first monthly close, Mar 1986 $508.96latest, Sep 29, 2026 +532920.54%since Mar 1986 $1,000 → $5,330,205.38first close to now
  1. 1The monopolyMar 1986 – Dec 1999+61034.62%
  2. 2The lost decadeJan 2000 – Dec 2012−45.42%
  3. 3Nadella’s pivotJan 2013 – Dec 2019+474.50%
  4. 4The AI franchiseJan 2020 – Sep 2026+198.98%

Every desk, every office, every screen

MS-DOS licensed the IBM PC into existence, Windows put it on every desk, and Office made it permanent. By the end of the century Microsoft was the most valuable company in the world — and the Department of Justice’s central case.

  1. IPO at $21 a share

    Four employees become billionaires and roughly a thousand become millionaires; the office-park legend of option wealth starts here.

    Closed $0.09549 that month
  2. Windows 95

    A launch covered like a moon landing — Start buttons, midnight queues, and the desktop monopoly cemented. The stock has already multiplied sixty-fold since the IPO.

    Closed $5.78 that month

A great business the market stopped paying for

The ruling lands as the bubble bursts. Microsoft keeps growing profits — and the stock goes sideways for thirteen years while search, phones, and social all happen somewhere else.

  1. Found guilty of monopoly

    Judge Jackson rules Microsoft abused its Windows monopoly and later orders a breakup. The remedy is overturned on appeal, but the stock spends the next fifteen years de-rating anyway.

    Closed $34.88 that month
  2. Ballmer replaces Gates

    The CEO change is weeks before the Nasdaq peak. Ballmer triples revenue over his tenure — and the market pays less for each dollar of it every year.

    Closed $48.94 that month
  3. Vista ships late; iPhone ships first

    Five years in the making, Vista lands to shrugs months before Apple reveals the computer of the next decade. Microsoft’s mobile answer never arrives.

    Closed $30.86 that month

Windows stops being the strategy

A new CEO kills the phone, ships Office on iPhone, and bets the company on Azure. The multiple re-rates before the revenue fully arrives — the market finally believes the transition.

  1. Nadella becomes CEO

    The head of the cloud division gets the job and immediately starts governing as if Windows were a product, not a strategy.

    Closed $38.31 that month
  2. LinkedIn for $26B

    The largest software acquisition yet — a professional graph bolted onto Office and Dynamics, and an early sign the new Microsoft will pay for position.

    Closed $51.17 that month
  3. The $1B bet on OpenAI

    A research lab gets Azure-scale compute and Microsoft gets an option on whatever deep learning becomes. It looks eccentric for years.

    Closed $104.43 that month

Distribution wins again

A $1B bet on OpenAI becomes Copilot everywhere, and Azure becomes the default landlord of the AI build-out. Forty years in, Microsoft is again priced as the platform everyone else rents.

  1. The rates repricing

    Like every durable grower, Microsoft gives back a third of its value as the easy-money era ends — its cheapest valuation in five years, days before ChatGPT goes public.

    Closed $232.13 that month
  2. Copilot everywhere

    ChatGPT becomes a product line: GitHub, Office, Bing, Azure. Investors start pricing Microsoft as the toll booth on enterprise AI.

    Closed $247.81 that month
  3. The second $3T company

    Thirty-eight years after a $21 IPO, the market caps a software subscription business above three trillion dollars.

    Closed $397.58 that month
  4. Activision closes for $69B

    The largest tech acquisition ever survives two years of regulators — gaming becomes a side bet inside a much larger platform.

    Closed $338.11 that month

The whole arc

+532920.54% in 40 years

One chart, Mar 31, 1986 – Sep 29, 2026. Open it, drag a range, add your own markers — or take this card with you.